Why Express Entry CRS is Unlikely To Go Lower than 440

By Morgan February 11, 2020 1 min. read

The Canadian Express Entry system works by assigning a point value to biographical information about you. These points are tallied and you as a part of the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) and you are awarded a score. This score is known as your CRS Score. Every time an Express Entry draw occurs, the draw announces what the lowest minimum CRS Score is along with how many applicants were invited to apply. The two most recent draws (January 22, 2020, and January 8, 2020) both had minimum scores of above 470.

Will the CRS Score Drop Below 440?

Although it is impossible to fully know what the minimum CRS score will be, we can analyze recent trends to make a few predictions. Currently, there are 231,244 people in the Express Entry Pool with scores that range from 1200 (the maximum score) to 0 (the lowest score).

CRS Score RangeNumber of candidates
601-1,200778
451-60019,458
401-45041,424
441-4509,637
431-4409,631
421-4306,654
411-4207,243
401-4108,259
351-40048,562
391-4008,356
381-39010,411
371-38010,074
361-37010,057
351-3609,664
301-35027,356
0-3003,680
Total 231,244

If we remove the lowest two tiers (0-300 and 300-350) as well as the top tier (601-1200) we are left with 109,444 applicants. Recently, the Express Entry draws have accepted approximately 3000 applicants. If no new applicants entered the pool, it would take at least ten draws to clear the applicants in the top two tiers. Which at roughly two draws a month would take five months. However, new applicants are entering the pool constantly. As a result, it is unlikely that the minimum CRS score will drop below 440 any time soon.

CRS Score RangeNumber of candidates
451-60019,458
441-4509,637
431-4409,631
421-4306,654
411-4207,243
401-4108,259
391-4008,356
381-39010,411
371-38010,074
361-37010,057
351-3609,664
Total 109,444

What Can I Do if I Have a CRS Score Below 440?

Having a score below 440 does not mean you will never be able to immigrate to Canada. Provincial Nominee Programs (PNP) may offer a quicker route to Canadian permanent residency than the main Express Entry Pool. PNPs are a way for provinces to select individuals that have specific skills the province needs. For example, if a province has a shortage of software engineers, it can select applicants with experience in software engineering. In this case, a person with a CRS score below 440 but with software engineering experience can be selected to apply for permanent residency. PNPs use the main Express Entry system to select applicants so if you are interested in a PNP you will still need to make an Express Entry Profile.